GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Minnesota United FC
Thu, 14 May · 00:30
Major League Soccer
Colorado Rapids
TOP PICK
Minnesota United FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
56%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
56%
Minnesota...
24%
Draw
20%
Colorado R...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
67% 19% 14%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
65% 14% 21%
DL 25% WEIGHT
56% 24% 20%
FINAL BLEND
56% 24% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.14 vs 0.86
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.76 -1.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.22 -2.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.24 -6.0%
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.83 -8.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.57 -9.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.62 -12.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 1.96 -13.8%
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 4.09 -18.2%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Minnesota home favourite but form split and Colorado's road record create tighter match than bookmaker odds suggest.
· Minnesota 5th (21 pts) vs Colorado 11th (13 pts) favours home, but split records (home DLWDL, away LLDLD) compress edge
· Colorado's away form is dire (LLDLD) yet overall recent form shows LLLDL — both suggest struggle away from home
· SportMonks (56.4% home) aligns with slightly higher conviction than bookmaker (54.1%); BTTS at 51.9% SportMonks vs 61.7% book suggests cautious overround
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Rafael Navarro
AWY · 7g/12
50%
2
Kelvin Yeboah
HOM · 7g/12
50%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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