⚡ AI
1-0 · Toluca 58%
48
MATCH HIGHLIGHTS
2 Clips
Resumen y gol - Toluca vs Pachuca | Liga MX - Cuartos de Final - Ida Clausura 2026 | TUDN
YouTube ↗
Liga MX: Toluca vs Pachuca
youtube · Somos Fox
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Toluca
LAST 30 MIN
▲ Pachuca
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
16
SHOTS
15
4
ON TARGET
6
120
POSSESSION %
72
10
CORNERS
4
10
FOULS
14
1
YELLOW CARDS
2
600
PASSES
240
⚡ KEY EVENTS
8'
⚽
Enner Valencia
0-1
41'
🟨
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
Time wasting
60'
🔄
Paulinho
60'
🔄
Nicolás Castro
60'
🔄
Santiago Simón
64'
🔄
Alexéi Domínguez
75'
🔄
Franco Rossi
75'
🔄
René López Aburto
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Luis García
8.3
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Toluca
8.3
Luis García
7.5
Marcel Ruíz
7.2
Franco Romero
Pachuca
E. Valencia
7.9
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
7.3
Eduardo Bauermann
7.3
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
3
Cruz Azul
17
33
Cruz Azul
17
33
4
Pachuca
17
31
Pachuca
17
31
5
Toluca
17
30
Toluca
17
30
6
Atlas
17
26
Atlas
17
26
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Foul
3rd Yellowcard
90'
CARD · Argument
4th Yellowcard
90'
SUBST
9th Substitution
90'
SUBST
8th Substitution
85'
VAR
Var
82'
SUBST
7th Substitution
76'
CARD · Foul
2nd Yellowcard
75'
SUBST
5th Substitution
75'
SUBST
6th Substitution
64'
SUBST
4th Substitution
60'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
60'
SUBST
1st Substitution
8'
⚽
Enner Valencia
0-1
41'
🟨
Alán Ernesto Bautista Gutiérrez
Time wasting
60'
🔄
Paulinho
60'
🔄
Nicolás Castro
60'
🔄
Santiago Simón
64'
🔄
Alexéi Domínguez
75'
🔄
Franco Rossi
75'
🔄
René López Aburto
76'
🟨
Alek Álvarez
Foul
82'
🔄
Mauricio Isaís
85'
📺
Franco Rossi
90'
🔄
Jorge Ernesto Berlanga Vázquez
90'
🔄
Sergio Lenin Rodriguez
90'+3
🟨
Argument
90'+7
🟨
Sergio Lenin Rodriguez
Foul
16
SHOTS
15
4
ON TARGET
6
120
POSSESSION %
72
0
XG
0
10
CORNERS
4
10
FOULS
14
1
YELLOW CARDS
2
16
TOTAL SHOTS
15
4
ON TARGET
6
10
OFF TARGET
5
2
BLOCKED
4
0
INSIDE BOX
0
0
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
600
TOTAL PASSES
240
0
ACCURATE
0
536
ACCURACY %
170
120
POSSESSION %
72
10
CORNERS
4
10
OFFSIDES
12
5
GK SAVES
4
10
FOULS
14
1
YELLOW CARDS
2
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Toluca
6 sh
Marcel Ruí...
1/5
Pavel Pére...
0/1
Pachuca
4 sh
Kenedy
2/2
E. Valenci...
1/1
C. Rivera
0/1
Toluca
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
4
Toluca
4
D Draws
2
Pachuca
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Toluca
PROJECTED: 1-0
58%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Toluca
24%
Draw
18%
Pachuca
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Toluca | D | Pachuc... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| ELO | 68% | 14% | 18% |
| DL | 58% | 24% | 18% |
| FINAL | 58% | 24% | 18% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
54%
YES
46%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Early scoreless start; Toluca slight home favourite but tight match — draw is live at 4.00.
Toluca strong home form (WDWDW) vs Pachuca mediocre away form (LWDWW)
H2H recent trend: high-scoring (last 4 meetings avg 2.2 goals/match) suggests BTTS
Only 2 minutes played — probabilities lean on pre-match quality + home edge, not momentum yet
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
9 bk
OVER
1.20
UNDER
4.08
2.5
10 bk
OVER
1.69
UNDER
2.09
3.5
9 bk
OVER
2.74
UNDER
1.43
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.61
14 bk
NO
2.16
14 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.36 7bk
Away -0.5
2.03 7bk
Away -0.75
1.79 7bk
Away -1
1.56 7bk
Away -1.25
1.43 6bk
Away -1.5
1.34 8bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca
REFEREE
Fernando Hernandez, Mexico
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Fernando Herna...
—
TOL... MGR
Ricardo Mohame...
head coach
PAC... MGR
Jaime Lozano
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Toluca · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Pachuca · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFMon, 04 May · 01:15
RoundClausura - Quarter-finals
Season2025
🏟
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca