GOALSENSE
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
12 SHOTS 8
2 ON TARGET 4
62 POSSESSION % 38
5 CORNERS 2
14 FOULS 10
1 YELLOW CARDS 3
0.77 XG 0.37
597 PASSES 367
⚡ KEY EVENTS
45'+1 Santiago Ascacíbar Normal Goal
56' 🟨 Ezequiel Piovi Yellow Card
60' 🔄 Fabricio Pérez Substitution
60' 🔄 Joaquín Tobio Burgos Substitution
67' 🔄 Miguel Merentiel Substitution
68' 🔄 Alexis Castro Substitution
68' 🔄 Tiago Palacios Substitution
74' 🟨 Leonel Flores Yellow Card
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Leandro Paredes
7.9
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Boca Juniors
7.9 Leandro Paredes
7.9 Álvaro Montero
7.9 Lautaro Blanco
Estudiantes L.P.
Tomás Palacios 7.7
Ezequiel Piovi 7.5
Santiago Núñez 7.3
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 31
1 Boca Juniors 89 159
1 Independ. Rivadavia 16 34
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
78'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
74'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
56'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
45'+1
Santiago Ascacíbar
Normal Goal
56' 🟨
Ezequiel Piovi
Yellow Card
60' 🔄
Fabricio Pérez
Substitution 1
60' 🔄
Joaquín Tobio Burgos
Substitution 2
67' 🔄
Miguel Merentiel
Substitution 1
68' 🔄
Alexis Castro
Substitution 3
68' 🔄
Tiago Palacios
Substitution 4
74' 🟨
Leonel Flores
Yellow Card
78' 🟨
Gabriel Neves
Yellow Card
80' 🔄
Tomás Aranda
Substitution 2
85' 🔄
Leonel Flores
Substitution 3
85' 🔄
Leandro Paredes
Substitution 4
86' 🔄
Ezequiel Piovi
Substitution 5
90' 🟨
Gastón Benedetti
Yellow Card
12 SHOTS 8
2 ON TARGET 4
62 POSSESSION % 38
0.77 XG 0.37
5 CORNERS 2
14 FOULS 10
1 YELLOW CARDS 3
12 TOTAL SHOTS 8
2 ON TARGET 4
4 OFF TARGET 3
6 BLOCKED 1
7 INSIDE BOX 5
5 OUTSIDE BOX 3
0.77 XG 0.37
597 TOTAL PASSES 367
519 ACCURATE 295
87 ACCURACY % 80
62 POSSESSION % 38
5 CORNERS 2
2 OFFSIDES 0
4 GK SAVES 1
14 FOULS 10
1 YELLOW CARDS 3
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Boca Junio... 1 sh
Santiago A... 1/1
Estudiante... 5 sh
Guido Carr... 3/4
Brian Agui... 0/1
📈 xG RACE 0.770.37
0.8 0 0' 90'
Boca Juniors Estudiantes...
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 10 Recent meetings
3
Boca Juniors
3
D Draws
4
Estudiantes...
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Boca Juniors
PROJECTED: 2-0
72%
CONF 76
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
Boca Junio...
20%
Draw
8%
Estudiante...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Boca J... D Estudi...
POISSON 74% 17% 9%
ELO 85% 10% 6%
DL 72% 20% 8%
FINAL 72% 20% 8%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
32%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
18%
YES
82%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Boca 1-0 up with 19 mins left at home; Estudiantes heavy substitution wave at 68' signals fatigue; lock home win.
1-goal lead past 70' with strong home control — 72% win prob baseline
Estudiantes deployed 2 substitutions at 68' (defensive adjustments); late subs indicate tire not attacking thrust
Boca home form LDLWW trending up; Estudiantes away form LDWWD weak on the road
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.55
UNDER
2.39
12 bk
2.5
OVER
2.67
UNDER
1.44
11 bk
3.5
OVER
5.46
UNDER
1.13
11 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
2.25
11 bk
NO
1.58
11 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.14 7bk
Away -0.5 1.79 8bk
Away -0.75 1.57 6bk
Away -1 1.34 6bk
Away -1.25 1.26 6bk
Away -1.5 1.20 7bk
🏟 STADIUM
Alberto Jose Armando
Buenos Aires
REFEREE
Nazareno Arasa, Argentina
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Nazareno Arasa...
BOC... MGR
Rodolfo Arruab...
head coach
EST... MGR
Alexander Medi...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Boca Junio... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Estudiante... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

KICK-OFFWed, 05 Aug · 22:00
RoundClausura - 2
Season2026
🏟
Alberto Jose Armando
Buenos Aires