GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Manchester City
Wed, 13 May · 19:00
Premier League
Crystal Palace
TOP PICK
Manchester City
PROJECTED: 2-0
76%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
76%
Manchester...
16%
Draw
8%
Crystal Pa...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
75% 17% 9%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
89% 5% 6%
DL 25% WEIGHT
76% 16% 8%
FINAL BLEND
76% 16% 8%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.27 vs 0.63
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 16% 7.31 +17.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 4.53 +8.8%
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 12.75 +2.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 92% 1.03 -4.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 84% 1.10 -8.0%
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.19 -9.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.41 -12.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
18 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.91 -27.4%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· City heavy favourites at home; Palace's poor away form (LWLLW) and 30-pt gap make upset unlikely.
· Massive quality gulf: City 2nd (74pts, +40GD) vs Palace 15th (44pts, -6GD)
· Palace away form LWLLW is dire; City home form WWLDW solid despite 1 loss
· City's xG dominance (implied by 72 GF vs Palace's 38) should produce 2+ goals
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Erling Haaland
HOM · 8g/10
30%
2
Erling Haaland
HOM · 26g/34
29%
3
Ismaïla Sarr
AWY · 9g/13
26%
4
Jean Philippe Mateta
AWY · 11g/29
14%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match