GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Thu, 30 Jul · 16:00
Europa League
Sheriff Tiraspol
TOP PICK
Maccabi Tel Aviv
PROJECTED: 2-0
56%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
56%
Maccabi Te...
28%
Draw
16%
Sheriff Ti...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
70% 19% 11%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
65% 19% 16%
DL 25% WEIGHT
56% 28% 16%
FINAL BLEND
56% 28% 16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.16 vs 0.74
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 3-0
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 4.99 +39.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 3.17 +39.3%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 16% 8.10 +29.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.56 -3.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 84% 1.06 -10.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.14 -17.8%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.33 -25.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.84 -30.1%
CONTEXT
· Early match at 0-0; Maccabi's 5-0 recent H2H win and home advantage drive slight favourite, but thin data limits conviction.
· Recent H2H: Maccabi 5-0 Sheriff (3 days ago) signals quality edge and psychological momentum
· Maccabi home form weak (L in last outing) vs Sheriff's road strength (W recent) — conflicting signals
· Only 3 minutes elapsed; 87 minutes remain — scoreline will shift; using H2H+ home edge as anchor
⚽ NEXT GOALSCORER
1
Saied Abu Farchi
HOM · F · 0g/1
31%
2
Dhoraso Moreo Klas
AWY · M · 0g/1
17%
3
Arli Pergjoni
AWY · M · 0g/1
17%
4
Konan Jaures-Ulrich Loukou
AWY · M · 0g/1
17%
5
Samba Koné
AWY · M · 0g/1
17%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Maccabi Te...
0
Draw
0
Sheriff Ti...
23 Jul 0-5
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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