TOP PICK
Lyon
PROJECTED: 2-1
62%
CONF 64
WIN PROBABILITY
62%
Lyon
22%
Draw
16%
Auxerre
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
69%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
72%
12%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
62%
22%
16%
FINAL BLEND
62%
22%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.18 vs 0.82
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
56%
BTTS NO
44%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
CONTEXT
·
Lyon clear home favourites on quality and form; Auxerre's away record is dire but recent win and H2H suggests they can score.
·
Quality gap: Lyon 4th (57 pts, +16 GD) vs Auxerre 16th (25 pts, -15 GD)
·
Lyon home form mixed (WWLLD) but overall stronger; Auxerre road form terrible (LDDLD)
·
H2H split: 3 of last 5 saw both teams score; recent draw (Nov 2025) keeps caution
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
48%
Lassine Sinayoko
AWY · F · 8g/29
2
30%
P. Šulc
HOM · M · 11g/24
3
22%
Corentin Tolisso
HOM · M · 9g/27
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Lyon
3
Draw
2
Auxerre
23 Nov
0-0
13 Apr
1-3
27 Oct
2-2
17 Feb
2-1
31 Aug
2-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.