TOP PICK
Japan
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 45
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Japan
28%
Draw
24%
Sweden
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
42%
31%
27%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
JAPAN FACTORS
+15%
Bookmaker odds imply Japan 48% win — our 48% aligns, no edge detected yet
CONTEXT
·
Very early (2'), scoreline locked at 0-0; Japan slight home edge but Sweden competitive. Treat this as pre-match odds with minimal live signal yet.
·
Only 2 minutes played — live state provides almost no directional information
·
Japan table position (2nd, 4pts) and home record (WL mixed) vs Sweden 3rd with away losses
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
35%
A. Elanga
AWY · F · 2g/3
2
26%
Ayase Ueda
HOM · F · 2g/4
3
19%
Y. Ayari
AWY · M · 2g/3
4
19%
Daichi Kamada
HOM · M · 2g/3
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Japan
1
Draw
0
Sweden
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.