GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
New England Revolution
Sat, 08 Aug · 20:30
Major League Soccer
Houston Dynamo
TOP PICK
New England Revolution
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
42%
New Englan...
28%
Draw
30%
Houston Dy...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
37% 31% 32%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
48% 19% 33%
DL 25% WEIGHT
42% 28% 30%
FINAL BLEND
42% 28% 30%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.05 vs 0.95
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
59%
BTTS NO
41%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.40 +1.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.42 -0.5%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.47 -2.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 59% 1.61 -5.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.77 -8.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.27 -8.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.54 -10.4%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 2.76 -17.1%
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched teams; home edge mild given Houston's strong road form. Draw and BTTS are live.
· New England slight quality edge (30 vs 29 pts, +7 GD) but home form inconsistent (WDWLW)
· Houston road form solid (WDLWL) — better than expected for visitor; recent form trending up (WWDDW)
· Bookmaker heavy favourite (39.7% home) likely overweights home advantage; AI sees closer contest
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Guilherme
AWY · 10g/17
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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