GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Heerenveen
Sat, 25 Apr · 16:45
Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard
TOP PICK
Heerenveen
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 18
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Heerenveen
28%
Draw
27%
Fortuna Si...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
52% 19% 30%
DL 25% WEIGHT
45% 28% 27%
FINAL BLEND
45% 28% 27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
50%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
55%
BTTS NO
45%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 27% 5.74 +55.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 2.62 +44.0%
Draw
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 4.68 +31.1%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.16 -16.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 73% 1.14 -17.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.47 -19.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 50% 1.35 -32.6%
HOME to Win
33 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 1.46 -34.1%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Essentially a coin flip — no meaningful data available; treat as weak heuristic only.
· No recent form data, season stats, or standings — prediction is baseline only
· Slight home-field advantage applied as default assumption
· H2H unavailable; no injury context to differentiate teams
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Jacob Trenskow
HOM · M · 12g/30
66%
2
Kaj Sierhuis
AWY · 10g/27
34%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Heerenveen
2
Draw
5
Fortuna Si...
08 Nov 2-0
01 Feb 2-2
02 Nov 3-0
03 Feb 3-3
25 Nov 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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