⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Fiorentina
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 35
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Fiorentina
28%
Draw
24%
Benevento
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
44%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
FIORENTINA FACTORS
+25%
Fiorentina recent form mixed (DWDLD) despite home advantage (DDDWW shows recent home struggles)
BENEVENTO FACTORS
+20%
Benevento away form stronger (WWD) than overall, but sample tiny for Coppa
CONTEXT
·
Coppa Italia early round with minimal data; treat as near-coin-flip with slight home lean.
·
No season stats, H2H, lineups, or odds available — prediction relies on form patterns only
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
37%
Moise Kean
HOM · F · 1g/1
2
21%
Albert Guðmundsson
HOM · M · 1g/1
3
21%
C. Ndour
HOM · M · 1g/1
4
12%
Moise Kean
HOM · F · 8g/26
5
10%
Davide Lamesta
AWY · M · 1g/2
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Fiorentina
0
Draw
1
Benevento
15 Dec
2-1
13 Mar
1-4
22 Nov
0-1
11 Mar
1-0
22 Oct
0-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.