TOP PICK
Sassuolo
PROJECTED: 1-0
54%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
54%
Sassuolo
28%
Draw
18%
Cesena
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
45%
31%
24%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
63%
19%
19%
DL
25% WEIGHT
54%
28%
18%
FINAL BLEND
54%
28%
18%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.14 vs 0.76
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
41%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
35%
BTTS NO
65%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
SASSUOLO FACTORS
+30%
Limited data and early-season Coppa Italia context; Sassuolo slight home favourite but low confidence.
CONTEXT
·
Sassuolo home form (LWWWL) moderately positive vs Cesena away form (DW) thin sample
·
Recent form diverges: Sassuolo LLLWD vs Cesena DDWL — both inconsistent, no clear edge
·
Season stats, H2H, lineups, and league standings all unavailable — reduces confidence significantly
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
70%
Luca Lipani
HOM · M · 1g/1
2
17%
Domenico Berardi
HOM · 8g/26
3
14%
Andrea Pinamonti
HOM · 9g/36
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Sassuolo
1
Draw
1
Cesena
18 Jan
1-2
10 May
2-3
20 Dec
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.