⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Club Tijuana
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Club Tijua...
32%
Draw
20%
Leon
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
43%
31%
26%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
56%
23%
21%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
32%
20%
FINAL BLEND
48%
32%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.11 vs 0.79
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
44%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
LEON FACTORS
+30%
Only 1 minute in; home edge slight but Leon's poor road form and Tijuana's stronger home record favour hosts marginally.
+20%
Leon in form slump overall (LLLWW) vs Tijuana mixed but stable (WDDWD)
CONTEXT
·
Club Tijuana home record (WDWWW) significantly stronger than Leon away (LLLLD)
·
Match at 1' — almost all uncertainty remains; early prediction is weak heuristic only
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
65%
Ismael Díaz
AWY · M · 10g/27
2
35%
Kevin Castañeda
HOM · 13g/36
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Club Tijua...
4
Draw
3
Leon
15 Mar
0-3
20 Sep
5-0
02 Mar
2-1
31 Aug
2-1
04 Mar
1-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.