GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
LDU de Quito
Thu, 20 Aug · 22:00
Copa Libertadores
Mirassol
TOP PICK
LDU de Quito
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 54
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
LDU de Qui...
26%
Draw
16%
Mirassol
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
68% 19% 13%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
68% 16% 16%
DL 25% WEIGHT
58% 26% 16%
FINAL BLEND
58% 26% 16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.17 vs 0.83
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.13 +10.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.11 +1.2%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 16% 6.28 +0.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.34 -1.6%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.74 -2.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 84% 1.11 -6.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.24 -8.2%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.57 -9.0%
MIRASSOL FACTORS
+30% Evenly matched Copa Libertadores rivals; home advantage and form split favour LDU, but Mirassol's recent upswing and road competence keep this competitive.
+25% Both tied on 12 pts but LDU stronger at home (WWW vs Mirassol's LWL away)
+20% H2H split: 1 recent draw (Aug 13) suggests tight contest; Mirassol won 2-0 in May but that's stale
+15% Mirassol's hot form (DLWWW) and superior GD (+3 vs LDU's +3 tied) offset home bias
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Janner Corozo
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
2
Michael Estrada
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
3
Ruddy Mina
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
4
Daniel Borges
AWY · F · 0g/1
20%
5
Gabriel Knesowitsch
AWY · F · 0g/1
20%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
LDU de Qui...
2
Draw
1
Mirassol
13 Aug 1-1
07 May 2-0
15 Apr 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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