GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Mirassol
Thu, 13 Aug · 22:00
Copa Libertadores
LDU de Quito
TOP PICK
Mirassol
PROJECTED: 1-0
78%
CONF 75
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Mirassol
16%
Draw
6%
LDU de Qui...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
53% 29% 18%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
92% 5% 3%
DL 25% WEIGHT
78% 16% 6%
FINAL BLEND
78% 16% 6%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.29 vs 0.61
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 2-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
22%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
18%
BTTS NO
82%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.68 +31.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 84% 1.28 +7.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 94% 1.13 +6.1%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 16% 3.38 -46.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 2.39 -47.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 2.14 -52.8%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 2.23 -59.8%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 6% 5.80 -65.2%
MIRASSOL FACTORS
+30% Mirassol leading 1-0 with 20 minutes left; LDU's weak away form (LLW) and low recent xG make comeback unlikely.
+25% 1-goal lead at 70' with 20 mins remaining — Mirassol heavy favourites to hold on
+20% LDU's poor away record (LLW) vs Mirassol's strong home form (WWW) + H2H edge (2-0, 2-0 recent wins)
+15% Yellow-card accumulation (3 on Mirassol, 1 on LDU) suggests cautious play; low-chance game likely
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Janner Corozo
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
2
Michael Estrada
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
3
Yerlin Quinonez
AWY · F · 0g/1
22%
4
Bruno Santos
HOM · F · 0g/1
22%
5
Fernando Cornejo
AWY · M · 0g/1
12%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Mirassol
2
Draw
1
LDU de Qui...
20 Aug 0-0
07 May 2-0
15 Apr 2-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match