GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Cruz Azul
Fri, 22 May · 02:00
Liga MX
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
TOP PICK
Draw
PROJECTED: 1-1
42%
CONF 51
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Cruz Azul
42%
Draw
20%
U.N.A.M. -...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
44% 34% 22%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 42% 20%
FINAL BLEND
38% 42% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
35%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 3.67 +54.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 2.04 +26.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 80% 1.18 -5.5%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 20% 4.46 -10.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.76 -15.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.24 -28.2%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.73 -34.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 1.85 -35.4%
CONTEXT
· Goalless at 57' with both teams disciplined; draw is most likely outcome, slight home edge from remaining time.
· 0-0 scoreline at 57' with 33 min left — draw becomes high-probability; late breakthrough possible but not likely
· Pumas (table leader, +17 GD) slightly stronger quality but road form mediocre (LDWWL); home side has yellow-card discipline concerns
· H2H recent pattern: mixed (2-2, 2-3, 3-2 wins for both); neither team dominant in direct play
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
R. Morales
AWY · F · 9g/23
38%
2
Gabriel Fernández
HOM · F · 14g/34
28%
3
José Paradela
HOM · M · 10g/42
13%
4
Carlos Rodríguez
HOM · M · 8g/41
11%
5
G. Martínez
AWY · 9g/26
10%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Cruz Azul
5
Draw
1
U.N.A.M. -...
25 May 1-2
15 Mar 2-2
09 Nov 2-3
06 Apr 3-2
27 Oct 0-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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