GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Saint Etienne
Tue, 26 May · 18:45
Ligue 1
Nice
TOP PICK
Saint Etienne
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Saint Etie...
28%
Draw
27%
Nice
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
52% 19% 30%
DL 25% WEIGHT
45% 28% 27%
FINAL BLEND
45% 28% 27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
61%
BTTS NO
39%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 2.47 +11.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 61% 1.81 +10.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.11 +9.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 73% 1.39 +1.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.33 -4.4%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.25 -9.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.53 -15.8%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 27% 2.88 -22.2%
SAINT ETIENNE FACTORS
+25% Saint Etienne home form DDDW (3 draws + 1 win) shows defensive solidity but blunt attack
NICE FACTORS
+20% Nice relegation-threatened (16th, 32 pts) adds desperation but away form LLDWD is weak
CONTEXT
· Data gaps limit confidence; home edge modest given Nice's relegation fight and Saint Etienne's recent draw-heavy form.
· Missing season xG, full injury clarity, and H2H context — treat as low-confidence read
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Mohamed Ali Cho
AWY · F · 0g/1
27%
2
Lucas Stassin
HOM · F · 0g/1
27%
3
Morgan Sanson
AWY · M · 0g/1
15%
4
Hicham Boudaoui
AWY · M · 0g/1
15%
5
Jonathan Clauss
AWY · M · 0g/1
15%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Saint Etie...
1
Draw
7
Nice
29 May 4-1
21 Dec 2-1
01 Mar 1-3
20 Sep 8-0
11 May 4-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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