GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Almere City FC
Sat, 02 May · 12:00
Eredivisie
Den Bosch
TOP PICK
Almere City FC
PROJECTED: 2-1
62%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
62%
Almere Cit...
24%
Draw
14%
Den Bosch
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
69% 19% 12%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
72% 14% 13%
DL 25% WEIGHT
62% 24% 14%
FINAL BLEND
62% 24% 14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.19 vs 0.81
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 2-1
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
68%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
69%
BTTS NO
31%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.69 +4.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 86% 1.21 +4.2%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 4.23 +1.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 69% 1.38 -5.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.34 -8.7%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.20 -9.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.08 -20.9%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 14% 4.11 -42.5%
DEN BOSCH FACTORS
+20% Almere most recent form W (vs Den Bosch); Den Bosch on losing streak (L)
CONTEXT
· Almere dominated previous meeting (3-2 away win); early momentum + home venue favours continuation despite 0-0 at 4'.
· H2H: Almere won 3-2 four days ago; strong psychological edge in rematch
· Bookmaker BTTS (71%) and Over 2.5 (73%) both high — expects open play, aligns with 3-2 precedent
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
E. Poku
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
2
Ferdy Druijf
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
3
M. Dors
HOM · F · 0g/1
20%
4
Sebastian Karlsson Grach
AWY · F · 0g/1
20%
5
Kévin Monzialo
AWY · F · 0g/1
20%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Almere Cit...
3
Draw
3
Den Bosch
29 Apr 2-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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