TOP PICK
Waalwijk
PROJECTED: 2-1
48%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Waalwijk
38%
Draw
14%
Roda
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
67%
19%
14%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
56%
30%
14%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
38%
14%
FINAL BLEND
48%
38%
14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.14 vs 0.86
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
78%
BTTS NO
22%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
WAALWIJK FACTORS
+30%
Tied 1-1 at 90'; extra time likely. Waalwijk's late equalizer + home venue give slight edge.
+25%
Match at 90' tied 1-1 — draw is base case (~38%), but Waalwijk's momentum (late goal) tilts to home win
CONTEXT
·
H2H pattern: 3 of last 4 meetings ended level or low-scoring; both teams clearly compact defensively
·
Roda away form weak (WL recent); Waalwijk at home more resilient despite mixed form (DWLLW overall)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
22%
Michael Breij
AWY · F · 0g/1
2
22%
Anthony van den Hurk
AWY · F · 0g/1
3
22%
Iman Griffith
AWY · F · 0g/1
4
22%
J. Uneken
HOM · F · 0g/1
5
12%
Lucas Beerten
AWY · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Waalwijk
3
Draw
3
Roda
28 Apr
1-1
30 Mar
0-1
19 Oct
1-2
27 Apr
3-1
24 Aug
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.