⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Crystal Palace
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Crystal Pa...
28%
Draw
20%
Shakhtar D...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
44%
31%
25%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
60%
19%
21%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
28%
20%
FINAL BLEND
52%
28%
20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.13 vs 0.77
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
44%
BTTS NO
56%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Early in first half, scoreless; Palace slight home edge but Shakhtar's away form and table position keep this tight.
·
Only 4 minutes elapsed — scoreline neutral, live momentum limited; home advantage modest early
·
Palace 10th vs Shakhtar 6th on table; Shakhtar away form (WDW) strong but Palace home form (DWWDD) mixed
·
SportMonks favours away (38.5% vs 35% home) — counters bookmaker home bias (57.8%); AI splits difference
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
63%
Ismaïla Sarr
HOM · F · 9g/14
2
37%
Jean Philippe Mateta
HOM · F · 12g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Crystal Pa...
1
Draw
0
Shakhtar D...
30 Apr
1-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.