⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Crystal Palace
PROJECTED: 1-2
44%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
32%
Shakhtar D...
24%
Draw
44%
Crystal Pa...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
17%
21%
63%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
36%
14%
50%
DL
25% WEIGHT
32%
24%
44%
FINAL BLEND
32%
24%
44%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.95 vs 2.05
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-2
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-2
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
58%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Palace lead 1-0 at min 3; Shakhtar's poor away form and recent substitutions suggest momentum favours visitors.
·
Early away goal (1-0 to Palace at min 3) — rare possession gift; Palace in strong recent form (WW) vs Shakhtar's WLW home split
·
Shakhtar made 4 substitutions by 83' (tactical overhaul mid-match) while trailing — suggests struggle to break down Palace's defensive shape
·
Palace's away form (LLWWL last 5) shows improvement trend; Shakhtar's home record mediocre (WLW); bookmakers at 49% away implies value upside
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
63%
Ismaïla Sarr
AWY · F · 9g/14
2
37%
Jean Philippe Mateta
AWY · F · 12g/32
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Shakhtar D...
1
Draw
1
Crystal Pa...
07 May
2-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.