GOALSENSE
📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE
▼ Aston Villa LAST 30 MIN ▲ Nottingham F...
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
18 SHOTS 7
10 ON TARGET 2
86 POSSESSION % 101
6 CORNERS 3
13 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
377 PASSES 360
⚡ KEY EVENTS
18' 🟨 Morato Foul
36' Ollie Watkins 1-0
45'+3 🟨 Jair Cunha  Foul
46' 🔄 Ryan Yates 
56' VAR Pau Torres
71' 🔄 Dilane Bakwa
71' 🔄 Lorenzo Lucca
74' 🔄 Lamare Bogarde
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Emiliano Buendía
9.5
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Aston Villa
9.5 Emiliano Buendía
8.6 John McGinn
7.7 Pau Torres
Nottingham Forest
Dilane Bakwa 6.9
James McAtee 6.7
Elliot Anderson 6.6
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1 Lyon 8 21
2 Aston Villa 8 21
3 FC Midtjylland 8 19
12 Ferencvarosi TC 8 15
13 Nottingham Forest 8 14
14 Plzen 8 14
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
SUBST
10th Substitution
90'
SUBST
9th Substitution
90'
SUBST
8th Substitution
88'
SUBST
7th Substitution
88'
SUBST
6th Substitution
86'
SUBST
5th Substitution
80'
GOAL · 4-0
3rd Goal
77'
GOAL · 3-0
2nd Goal
74'
SUBST
4th Substitution
71'
SUBST
3rd Substitution
71'
SUBST
2nd Substitution
58'
PENALTY · 2-0
1st Penalty
18' 🟨
Morato
Foul
36'
Ollie Watkins
1-0
45'+3 🟨
Jair Cunha 
Foul
46' 🔄
Ryan Yates 
56' 📺
Pau Torres
58'
Emiliano Buendía
2-0
71' 🔄
Dilane Bakwa
71' 🔄
Lorenzo Lucca
74' 🔄
Lamare Bogarde
77'
John McGinn
3-0
80'
John McGinn
4-0
86' 🔄
Jadon Sancho
88' 🔄
Murillo
88' 🔄
Jimmy Sinclair
90' 🔄
Leon Bailey
90' 🔄
Douglas Luiz
90' 🔄
18 SHOTS 7
10 ON TARGET 2
86 POSSESSION % 101
0 XG 0
6 CORNERS 3
13 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
18 TOTAL SHOTS 7
10 ON TARGET 2
3 OFF TARGET 4
5 BLOCKED 1
0 INSIDE BOX 0
0 OUTSIDE BOX 0
0 XG 0
377 TOTAL PASSES 360
0 ACCURATE 0
315 ACCURACY % 297
86 POSSESSION % 101
6 CORNERS 3
8 OFFSIDES 14
2 GK SAVES 6
13 FOULS 12
0 YELLOW CARDS 2
0 RED CARDS 0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Aston Vill... 8 sh
Emiliano B... 2/3
John McGin... 3/3
Pau Torres 1/1
Morgan Rog... 1/1
Nottingham... 1 sh
Ryan Yates 1/1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 9 Recent meetings
5
Aston Villa
2
D Draws
2
Nottingham F...
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Aston Villa
PROJECTED: 1-0
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Aston Vill...
28%
Draw
20%
Nottingham...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
MODEL Aston... D Nottin...
POISSON 44% 31% 25%
ELO 60% 19% 21%
DL 52% 28% 20%
FINAL 52% 28% 20%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
56%
YES
44%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Early in first half at 0-0; Aston Villa slight home favourite but Nottingham Forest's recent form (5W) and away record (WWDWW) keep this competitive.
Only 2 minutes elapsed — scoreline neutral, form and quality dominate
Aston Villa higher league position (2 vs 13, +7 pts) but Forest on 5-match winning streak
Aston Villa home advantage offset by Villa's recent slump (LLLWW) and Forest's away consistency (WWDWW)
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
OVER
1.26
UNDER
3.64
10 bk
2.5
OVER
1.87
UNDER
1.94
11 bk
3.5
OVER
3.17
UNDER
1.34
10 bk
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.79
10 bk
NO
1.95
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.56 7bk
Away -0.5 2.14 7bk
Away -0.75 1.89 7bk
Away -1 1.62 8bk
Away -1.25 1.49 6bk
Away -1.5 1.38 8bk
🏟 STADIUM
Villa Park
Birmingham · 42,824 seats
REFEREE
G. Nyberg
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
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⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Nyberg
AST... MGR
Unai Emery
head coach
NOT... MGR
Vitor Pereira
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Aston Vill... · 0 OUT

No injuries reported

Nottingham... · 20 OUT
Ola Aina · Hamstring In...
Omari Hutchi... · Inactive
Murillo · Muscle Injur...
Taiwo Awoniy... · Inactive
+ 16 more
KICK-OFFThu, 07 May · 19:00
RoundSemi-finals
Season2025
SURFACEGrass
CAPACITY42,824
🏟
Villa Park
Birmingham · 42,824