GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Standard Liege
Sat, 23 May · 18:45
Jupiler Pro League
Charleroi
TOP PICK
Standard Liege
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Standard L...
28%
Draw
34%
Charleroi
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 19% 38%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 28% 34%
FINAL BLEND
38% 28% 34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 34% 3.48 +18.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.72 +6.8%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.97 +2.6%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 58% 1.76 +2.2%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.36 -6.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.29 -7.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 66% 1.29 -15.1%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.07 -21.3%
CHARLEROI FACTORS
+30% Evenly matched; home form weakness and Charleroi's strong recent run neutralize Standard's table position. Draw is live.
+20% Charleroi on strong 4-match unbeaten streak overall; solid 2W-1D away form vs Standard's home struggles
CONTEXT
· Standard's dire home form (DWLLD) contradicts table position — only 1W in last 5 at home
· H2H volatile (2-0, 3-1, 0-1, 1-2 recent) — no clear edge, but Standard's home advantage historically weak in this fixture
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Aurélien Scheidler
AWY · F · 9g/36
45%
2
Parfait Guiagon
AWY · F · 9g/33
34%
3
Rafiki Saïd
HOM · M · 8g/37
21%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Standard L...
3
Draw
3
Charleroi
18 Apr 1-2
18 Jan 2-0
31 Oct 3-1
04 May 0-1
06 Apr 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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