TOP PICK
Charleroi
PROJECTED: 2-1
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Charleroi
26%
Draw
22%
OH Leuven
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
66%
20%
15%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
60%
16%
23%
DL
25% WEIGHT
52%
26%
22%
FINAL BLEND
52%
26%
22%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.12 vs 0.88
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CHARLEROI FACTORS
+30%
Even match with slight home edge; recent H2H split and poor away form for Leuven favour Charleroi, but quality gap is minimal.
+25%
Charleroi's home record (LWLWL) weaker than form suggests; Leuven away form (LDLWW) mixed but improving
+20%
H2H split: Charleroi 2-0 win in last meeting (Apr 2026), prior Leuven 2-0 win (Mar 2026) — volatile matchup
+15%
League position and GF/GA nearly identical; bookmaker implied 53.8% home slightly overweights Charleroi
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
61%
Aurélien Scheidler
HOM · F · 8g/32
2
39%
Parfait Guiagon
HOM · M · 9g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Charleroi
4
Draw
4
OH Leuven
25 Apr
0-2
14 Mar
0-2
27 Jul
2-2
24 May
2-1
28 Mar
0-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.