GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Charleroi
Sat, 16 May · 14:00
Jupiler Pro League
KVC Westerlo
TOP PICK
Charleroi
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Charleroi
26%
Draw
26%
KVC Wester...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
39% 31% 30%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 16% 28%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 26% 26%
FINAL BLEND
48% 26% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
57%
BTTS NO
43%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 4.06 +5.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 2.01 +4.4%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.93 +2.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.22 -9.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.21 -10.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 57% 1.53 -13.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.76 -15.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.53 -17.2%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CHARLEROI FACTORS
+25% Charleroi home form WLWLW is inconsistent; Westerlo away form LWWWD shows recent improvement
+20% Season GF/GA nearly identical (Charleroi 38/42, Westerlo 36/40) — no quality edge
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched midtable sides with conflicting form signals; slight home edge but draw/away upset live at these odds.
· SportMonks model (42.26% home) slightly below bookmaker (48.5%) but both suggest tight contest
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Nacho Ferri
AWY · F · 11g/34
44%
2
Aurélien Scheidler
HOM · F · 8g/32
34%
3
Parfait Guiagon
HOM · M · 9g/30
22%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
7
Charleroi
1
Draw
2
KVC Wester...
05 Apr 2-0
22 Feb 2-1
08 Nov 2-0
09 May 4-3
11 Apr 2-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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