TOP PICK
Charleroi
PROJECTED: 0-1
74%
CONF 78
WIN PROBABILITY
8%
Antwerp
18%
Draw
74%
Charleroi
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
19%
30%
52%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
6%
7%
87%
DL
25% WEIGHT
8%
18%
74%
FINAL BLEND
8%
18%
74%
PREDICTED SCORE
0 - 1
xG 0.64 vs 1.26
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-1
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-2
0.0%
5
1-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
22%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
15%
BTTS NO
85%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
ANTWERP FACTORS
+20%
Antwerp missed penalty at 86' (last realistic chance); no second-half breakthrough
CHARLEROI FACTORS
+25%
1-goal lead with match at 90' (essentially final whistle) — Charleroi has won
CONTEXT
·
Charleroi leading 1-0 at 90' (full-time); Antwerp's missed penalty and zero shots on target seal it.
·
H2H advantage Charleroi (3W-1D-1L vs Antwerp in last 5 meetings)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
42%
Vincent Janssen
HOM · F · 10g/33
2
35%
Aurélien Scheidler
AWY · F · 8g/32
3
23%
Parfait Guiagon
AWY · M · 9g/30
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Antwerp
1
Draw
6
Charleroi
10 Apr
2-1
25 Jan
0-2
17 Aug
1-1
29 May
1-2
08 Dec
1-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.