TOP PICK
Charleroi
PROJECTED: 1-1
36%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
36%
Charleroi
28%
Draw
36%
Genk
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
35%
31%
35%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
41%
19%
41%
DL
25% WEIGHT
36%
28%
36%
FINAL BLEND
36%
28%
36%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.00 vs 1.00
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
0-0
0.0%
2
0-1
0.0%
3
1-0
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
57%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
59%
BTTS NO
41%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Evenly matched on quality and recent form; slight edge to away team's road form, but draw most defensible.
·
Genk stronger away form (WLWWD) vs Charleroi weaker home form (LLWDW)
·
H2H recent history shows draws/tight matches (1-1, 2-2, 1-1 in last 3)
·
League position gap narrow (Charleroi 11th/34pts, Genk 7th/42pts) — not a quality mismatch
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
32%
Aurélien Scheidler
HOM · F · 8g/32
2
27%
Parfait Guiagon
HOM · F · 9g/30
3
24%
Daan Heymans
AWY · M · 10g/29
4
10%
Zakaria El Ouahdi
AWY · D · 4g/10
5
7%
Zakaria El Ouahdi
AWY · D · 8g/31
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Charleroi
6
Draw
3
Genk
21 Apr
1-1
19 Dec
2-2
17 Sep
0-1
28 Feb
1-1
23 Nov
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.