TOP PICK
Lanus
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Lanus
28%
Draw
24%
Mirassol
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
40%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
19%
26%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
28%
24%
FINAL BLEND
48%
28%
24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.10 vs 0.90
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
44%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
LANUS FACTORS
+20%
Lanus home form DWDWW (mixed) vs recent L-L-L-D-W (slump in context)
MIRASSOL FACTORS
+25%
Mirassol league-leading position (12 pts, +4 GD) but only 2 away games played; small sample
CONTEXT
·
Mirassol's table position masks thin data; Lanus home form solid but recent slump concerning. Treat as toss-up.
·
Extremely thin data: H2H shows only this fixture, no season xG/CS stats, only 5-game form snippets
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Dylan Aquino
HOM · M · 5g/13
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Lanus
0
Draw
1
Mirassol
08 Apr
1-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.