⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Palmeiras
PROJECTED: 2-0
68%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
68%
Palmeiras
20%
Draw
12%
Cerro Port...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
73%
17%
10%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
80%
10%
11%
DL
25% WEIGHT
68%
20%
12%
FINAL BLEND
68%
20%
12%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.22 vs 0.68
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
3-0
0.0%
4
2-1
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
PALMEIRAS FACTORS
+20%
H2H heavily favours Palmeiras (3W, 1D in last 4 vs Cerro, scoring 7 vs 1)
CONTEXT
·
Palmeiras' perfect home form and H2H dominance favour a home win; Cerro Porteno's weak away record limits upside.
·
Palmeiras perfect at home (WWWWW) vs Cerro Porteno's poor away form (WLLL)
·
League leaders at home in Copa Libertadores typically dominant; bookmaker 74.6% home-win reflects this
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
54%
Pablo Vegetti
AWY · F · 3g/6
2
30%
Jhon Arias
HOM · M · 3g/6
3
16%
Ramón Sosa
HOM · 2g/4
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
6
Palmeiras
1
Draw
0
Cerro Port...
30 Apr
1-1
08 May
0-2
10 Apr
1-0
24 May
0-3
21 Apr
2-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.