GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
LDU de Quito
Thu, 21 May · 00:30
Copa Libertadores
Lanus
TOP PICK
LDU de Quito
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
LDU de Qui...
28%
Draw
24%
Lanus
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 4.19 +0.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.87 -2.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.99 -4.5%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.23 -6.2%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.34 -6.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.29 -7.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.21 -8.2%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.89 -9.5%
LANUS FACTORS
+30% Thin data and Lanus' severe road form (0-5) vs LDU's home record (1W) creates conflicting signals — treat as toss-up with slight home lean.
+25% Lanus on terrible away streak (LLLLL) — strongest objective signal vs LDU's modest home form (1W only)
+15% H2H: Lanus won 1-0 in Apr, suggesting they have tactical answers for LDU at altitude
CONTEXT
· Both teams level on points (6) and recent form mixed — no quality separator
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Dylan Aquino
AWY · F · 5g/13
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
LDU de Qui...
0
Draw
2
Lanus
28 Apr 1-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match