⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Coquimbo Unido
PROJECTED: 1-1
48%
CONF 44
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Coquimbo U...
27%
Draw
25%
Deportes T...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
39%
31%
30%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
55%
18%
27%
DL
25% WEIGHT
48%
27%
25%
FINAL BLEND
48%
27%
25%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.09 vs 0.91
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
46%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
51%
BTTS NO
49%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Even-matched Copa Libertadores clash; Tolima's table position offset by poor away form and recent head-to-head dominance by Coquimbo.
·
Tolima top of table on GD but Coquimbo home form (W) + Tolima away form (L) flattens quality gap
·
Tolima won 3-0 away at Coquimbo 20 days ago — reversal unlikely but venue/fatigue factors in
·
Both teams level on 7 pts; xG data absent, so relying on GF/GA (Tolima +2, Coquimbo 0) as proxy
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
61%
Guido Vadalá
HOM · M · 2g/4
2
25%
Jersson González
AWY · M · 2g/10
3
14%
Brayan Rovira
AWY · M · 1g/6
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Coquimbo U...
0
Draw
1
Deportes T...
29 Apr
3-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.