⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Santa Fe
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Santa Fe
28%
Draw
34%
Corinthian...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
35%
31%
34%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
19%
38%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
28%
34%
FINAL BLEND
38%
28%
34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
46%
BTTS NO
54%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
SANTA FE FACTORS
+20%
Santa Fe bottomed out (1 pt, 2 GF / 5 GA) but home venue provides psychological lift vs away-heavy record
CORINTHIANS FACTORS
+25%
Corinthians league-leading 6 GF / 0 GA suggests dominant form, but only 2 matches played (small sample)
CONTEXT
·
Corinthians quality edge tempered by Santa Fe's home venue; competitive match with slight away lean.
·
Recent H2H: Corinthians won 2-0 away; Santa Fe facing must-win pressure in Copa Libertadores group stage
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
100%
Gustavo Henrique
AWY · D · 3g/6
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Santa Fe
0
Draw
1
Corinthian...
16 Apr
2-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.