⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Mirassol
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Mirassol
24%
Draw
18%
LDU de Qui...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
14%
18%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
24%
18%
FINAL BLEND
58%
24%
18%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.16 vs 0.84
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
52%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
MIRASSOL FACTORS
+30%
Thin data on both teams' full-season stats limits confidence; home advantage + recent form edge Mirassol but LDU's 2-0 win 3 weeks ago and league-leading position remain threats.
+25%
Only 2 recent form matches per team; LDU unbeaten but Mirassol won at home last time out
+15%
H2H shows LDU 2-0 away 3 weeks ago; Mirassol seeking revenge at home with home-form advantage
CONTEXT
·
LDU leads table on goal difference (3-1 GD vs 3-2) despite equal points — suggests quality edge
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
24%
Jeison Medina
AWY · F · 0g/1
2
24%
Deyverson
AWY · F · 0g/1
3
24%
Everton Galdino
HOM · F · 0g/1
4
13%
Fernando Cornejo
AWY · M · 0g/1
5
13%
Jesús Pretell
AWY · M · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Mirassol
0
Draw
1
LDU de Qui...
15 Apr
2-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.