⚡ AI
2-1 · Independ. Rivadavia 52%
48
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
15
SHOTS
11
3
ON TARGET
2
28
POSSESSION %
72
6
CORNERS
2
13
FOULS
13
2
YELLOW CARDS
4
1.34
XG
0.75
217
PASSES
597
⚡ KEY EVENTS
37'
🟨
Tomas Bottari
Yellow Card
38'
🟨
Hércules
Yellow Card
45'+1
🟨
Luciano Acosta
Yellow Card
63'
🟨
José Florentín
Yellow Card
63'
🟨
Nonato
Yellow Card
66'
⚽
Alex Arce
Normal Goal
69'
🟨
Guga
Yellow Card
78'
🔄
Nonato
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Sebastián Villa
7.5
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Independ. Rivadavia
7.5
Sebastián Villa
7.3
José Florentín
7.3
Alex Arce
Fluminense
John Kennedy
7.3
Ignácio
7.3
Juan Pablo Freytes
7.2
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1
U. Catolica
5
10
U. Catolica
5
10
1
Independ. Rivadavia
5
13
Independ. Rivadavia
5
13
1
Coquimbo Unido
6
10
Coquimbo Unido
6
10
3
Boca Juniors
5
7
Boca Juniors
5
7
3
Fluminense
5
5
Fluminense
5
5
3
Club Nacional
6
8
Club Nacional
6
8
💬 COMMENTARY
69'
CARD · Yellow Card
Roughing
63'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
63'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
45'
CARD · Yellow Card
Roughing
38'
CARD · Yellow Card
Handling
37'
CARD · Yellow Card
Handling
37'
🟨
Tomas Bottari
Yellow Card
38'
🟨
Hércules
Yellow Card
45'+1
🟨
Luciano Acosta
Yellow Card
63'
🟨
José Florentín
Yellow Card
63'
🟨
Nonato
Yellow Card
66'
⚽
Alex Arce
Normal Goal
69'
🟨
Guga
Yellow Card
78'
🔄
Nonato
Substitution 1
78'
🔄
Jefferson Savarino
Substitution 2
78'
🔄
Hércules
Substitution 3
79'
🔄
Alex Arce
Substitution 1
80'
🟨
Yellow Card
82'
🔄
Luciano Gómez
Substitution 2
82'
🔄
Ezequiel Bonifacio
Substitution 3
82'
🔄
Agustín Canobbio
Substitution 4
86'
🔄
Matías Fernández
Substitution 4
86'
🔄
Fabrizio Sartori
Substitution 5
90'+1
⚽
John Kennedy
Normal Goal
15
SHOTS
11
3
ON TARGET
2
28
POSSESSION %
72
1.34
XG
0.75
6
CORNERS
2
13
FOULS
13
2
YELLOW CARDS
4
15
TOTAL SHOTS
11
3
ON TARGET
2
8
OFF TARGET
7
4
BLOCKED
2
11
INSIDE BOX
10
4
OUTSIDE BOX
1
1.34
XG
0.75
217
TOTAL PASSES
597
156
ACCURATE
537
72
ACCURACY %
90
28
POSSESSION %
72
6
CORNERS
2
3
OFFSIDES
0
1
GK SAVES
2
13
FOULS
13
2
YELLOW CARDS
4
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Independ....
8 sh
Alex Arce
1/4
Matías Fer...
0/2
Sebastián...
0/1
José Flore...
1/1
Fluminense
1 sh
John Kenne...
1/1
📈 xG RACE
1.34 – 0.75
Independ. Ri...
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 1 Recent meetings
1
Independ. Ri...
0
D Draws
0
Fluminense
RECENT MEETINGS
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Independ. Rivadavia
PROJECTED: 2-1
52%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
52%
Independ....
28%
Draw
20%
Fluminense
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Indepe... | D | Flumin... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 66% | 20% | 14% |
| ELO | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| DL | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| FINAL | 52% | 28% | 20% |
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
54%
YES
46%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Independ. Rivadavia heavily favoured on table position and recent form, but Fluminense's away record and limited data temper conviction.
Rivadavia top of table (9 pts, GD +5) vs Fluminense 4th (1 pt, GD -3) — massive quality gap
Rivadavia home form WWLW and recent DWWDW; Fluminense away form L and overall LL — desperation asymmetry
H2H: Rivadavia won 2-1 on 2026-04-16; Fluminense vulnerable on road but Copa Libertadores unpredictability and thin sample (2 matches) lower confidence
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.41
UNDER
2.76
2.5
11 bk
OVER
2.30
UNDER
1.60
3.5
10 bk
OVER
4.34
UNDER
1.19
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.93
10 bk
NO
1.78
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.79 7bk
Away -0.5
1.58 7bk
Away -0.75
1.40 6bk
Away -1
1.23 5bk
Away -1.25
1.18 4bk
Away -1.5
1.14 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Mendoza
REFEREE
G. Tejera
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
G. Tejera
—
IND... MGR
Alfredo Berti
head coach
FLU... MGR
Francisco Zube...
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Independ.... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Fluminense · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFThu, 07 May · 00:30
RoundGroup Stage - 4
Season2026
🏟
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Mendoza