⚡ AI
1-0 · Sporting Cristal 78%
79
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
17
SHOTS
13
4
ON TARGET
2
75
POSSESSION %
68
7
CORNERS
4
8
FOULS
7
2
YELLOW CARDS
1
425
PASSES
347
⚡ KEY EVENTS
10'
🟨
Gustavo Cazonatti
Yellow Card
21'
🟥
J. Pena
Red Card
46'
🔄
Gustavo Cazonatti
Substitution
49'
🟨
Santiago González
Yellow Card
52'
⚽
Santiago González
Normal Goal
57'
🔄
Kevin Pérez
Substitution
57'
🔄
Jesús Rivas
Substitution
58'
🔄
Teófilo Gutiérrez
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Santiago González
8.2
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Sporting Cristal
8.2
Santiago González
7.7
Leandro Sosa
7.5
Miguel Araujo
Junior
Teófilo Gutiérrez
7.2
Jhonier Guerrero
7.2
Yimmi Chará
7.0
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
3
LDU de Quito
4
6
LDU de Quito
4
6
3
Sporting Cristal
4
6
Sporting Cristal
4
6
3
Penarol
4
2
Penarol
4
2
4
Always Ready
4
3
Always Ready
4
3
4
Junior
4
1
Junior
4
1
4
Santa Fe
4
2
Santa Fe
4
2
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
21'
CARD · Red Card
Serious foul
10'
🟨
Gustavo Cazonatti
Yellow Card
21'
🟥
J. Pena
Red Card
46'
🔄
Gustavo Cazonatti
Substitution 1
49'
🟨
Santiago González
Yellow Card
52'
⚽
Santiago González
Normal Goal
57'
🔄
Kevin Pérez
Substitution 1
57'
🔄
Jesús Rivas
Substitution 2
58'
🔄
Teófilo Gutiérrez
Substitution 3
63'
🔄
Luis Iberico
Substitution 2
63'
🔄
Irven Ávila
Substitution 3
69'
🔄
Joel Canchimbo
Substitution 4
74'
🔄
Maxloren Castro
Substitution 4
85'
🔄
Juan David Ríos
Substitution 5
87'
🔄
Santiago González
Substitution 5
90'+1
⚽
Catriel Cabellos
Normal Goal
90'+4
🟨
Guillermo Paiva
Yellow Card
17
SHOTS
13
4
ON TARGET
2
75
POSSESSION %
68
0
XG
0
7
CORNERS
4
8
FOULS
7
2
YELLOW CARDS
1
17
TOTAL SHOTS
13
4
ON TARGET
2
9
OFF TARGET
5
4
BLOCKED
6
0
INSIDE BOX
0
0
OUTSIDE BOX
0
0
XG
0
425
TOTAL PASSES
347
0
ACCURATE
0
366
ACCURACY %
280
75
POSSESSION %
68
7
CORNERS
4
15
OFFSIDES
13
2
GK SAVES
2
8
FOULS
7
2
YELLOW CARDS
1
0
RED CARDS
1
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Sporting C...
5 sh
Santiago G...
2/4
Catriel Ca...
1/1
Junior
2 sh
Teófilo Gu...
1/1
Jhonier Gu...
0/1
Sporting Cristal
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 1 Recent meetings
1
Sporting Cri...
0
D Draws
0
Junior
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Sporting Cristal
PROJECTED: 1-0
78%
CONF 79
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Sporting C...
15%
Draw
7%
Junior
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Sporti... | D | Junior |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| ELO | 92% | 4% | 4% |
| DL | 78% | 15% | 7% |
| FINAL | 78% | 15% | 7% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
22%
YES
78%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Sporting Cristal 1-0 up with 13 minutes left; low xG environment and Junior's poor away form make home win near-certain.
One-goal lead past minute 77 with ~13 minutes remaining — statistically >75% win probability
Junior on road with L form (LLLLL overall) — attacking threat minimal
Low-chance match (xG-poor throughout); Junior 0 shots on target pattern typical of away weakness
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.43
UNDER
2.68
2.5
11 bk
OVER
2.36
UNDER
1.57
3.5
10 bk
OVER
4.47
UNDER
1.18
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.96
10 bk
NO
1.77
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.60 7bk
Away -0.5
1.47 6bk
Away -0.75
1.30 6bk
Away -1
1.18 5bk
Away -1.25
1.14 4bk
Away -1.5
1.10 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Lima
REFEREE
M. Ramirez
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
Mola TV
Mola TV App
mola.tv
SG
Mola TV
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Ramirez
—
SPO... MGR
Ricardo Ze
head coach
JUN... MGR
Alfredo Arias
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Sporting C... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Junior · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFWed, 29 Apr · 02:00
RoundGroup Stage - 3
Season2026
🏟
Estadio Nacional de Lima
Lima