⚡ AI
1-1 · Independiente del Valle 37%
38
📊 FULL-TIME STATS
8
SHOTS
14
4
ON TARGET
6
44
POSSESSION %
56
0
CORNERS
6
8
FOULS
14
3
YELLOW CARDS
2
1.16
XG
0.84
346
PASSES
441
⚡ KEY EVENTS
33'
⚽
Carlos González
Normal Goal
37'
⚽
Lorenzo Melgarejo
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Iván Franco
Substitution
51'
⚽
Carlos González
Normal Goal
54'
🟨
Álvaro Campuzano
Yellow Card
58'
🟨
Federico Carrizo
Yellow Card
64'
🔄
Lucas Sanabria
Substitution
64'
🔄
Federico Carrizo
Substitution
⭐ MAN OF THE MATCH
Carlos González
9.9
RATING
📋 PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH
Libertad Asuncion
9.2
Lorenzo Melgarejo
7.2
Iván Ramírez
6.9
Rodrigo Morínigo
Independiente del Valle
Carlos González
9.9
Jordy Alcivar
7.7
Arón Rodríguez
7.6
🏆 LEAGUE CONTEXT
1
Deportes Tolima
4
7
Deportes Tolima
4
7
2
Independiente del Valle
4
7
Independiente del Valle
4
7
2
Lanus
4
6
Lanus
4
6
4
Cusco
4
1
Cusco
4
1
4
Libertad Asuncion
4
0
Libertad Asuncion
4
0
💬 COMMENTARY
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Tripping
90'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
87'
CARD · Yellow Card
Unsportsmanlike conduct
58'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
54'
CARD · Yellow Card
Foul
33'
⚽
Carlos González
Normal Goal
37'
⚽
Lorenzo Melgarejo
Normal Goal
46'
🔄
Iván Franco
Substitution 1
51'
⚽
Carlos González
Normal Goal
54'
🟨
Álvaro Campuzano
Yellow Card
58'
🟨
Federico Carrizo
Yellow Card
64'
🔄
Lucas Sanabria
Substitution 2
64'
🔄
Federico Carrizo
Substitution 3
65'
⚽
Carlos González
Normal Goal
70'
🔄
Matías Perello
Substitution 1
70'
🔄
Arón Rodríguez
Substitution 2
72'
🔄
Robert Rojas
Substitution 4
72'
🔄
Alexis Fretes
Substitution 5
77'
🔄
J. Lerma
Substitution 3
77'
🔄
Jordy Alcivar
Substitution 4
81'
🔄
Carlos González
Substitution 5
85'
⚽
Lorenzo Melgarejo
Penalty
87'
🟨
Gustavo Aguilar
Yellow Card
90'
🟨
Ronald Briones
Yellow Card
90'+1
🟨
Layan Loor
Yellow Card
8
SHOTS
14
4
ON TARGET
6
44
POSSESSION %
56
1.16
XG
0.84
0
CORNERS
6
8
FOULS
14
3
YELLOW CARDS
2
8
TOTAL SHOTS
14
4
ON TARGET
6
4
OFF TARGET
5
0
BLOCKED
3
7
INSIDE BOX
11
1
OUTSIDE BOX
3
1.16
XG
0.84
346
TOTAL PASSES
441
277
ACCURATE
364
80
ACCURACY %
83
44
POSSESSION %
56
0
CORNERS
6
6
OFFSIDES
2
3
GK SAVES
2
8
FOULS
14
3
YELLOW CARDS
2
0
RED CARDS
0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN
Libertad A...
6 sh
Lorenzo Me...
3/6
Independie...
8 sh
Carlos Gon...
3/3
Arón Rodrí...
1/3
Jordy Alci...
1/1
Mateo Cara...
0/1
📈 xG RACE
1.16 – 0.84
Libertad Asu...
Independient...
Libertad Asuncion
4-2-3-1
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME · 1 Recent meetings
0
Libertad Asu...
0
D Draws
1
Independient...
⚡ AI TOP PICK
Independiente del Valle
PROJECTED: 1-1
37%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
35%
Libertad A...
28%
Draw
37%
Independie...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
| MODEL | Libert... | D | Indepe... |
|---|---|---|---|
| POISSON | 34% | 31% | 35% |
| ELO | 39% | 19% | 42% |
| DL | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| FINAL | 35% | 28% | 37% |
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
📊 OVER / UNDER
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
47%
OVER 3.5
—
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
50%
YES
50%
NO
💡 KEY FACTORS
Early-season Copa Libertadores volatility; visitor leading on points and form, but home-ground value exists.
Independiente del Valle leads 4–0 in points + 3–1 in GD; Libertad just 1 goal in opening matches
Libertad's home form (L) and overall form (L) are poor; visitor's W in last outing
Sparse data (2 matches per team max, no H2H, no season stats) inflates uncertainty significantly
OVER / UNDER · GOALS
1.5
10 bk
OVER
1.42
UNDER
2.73
2.5
11 bk
OVER
2.34
UNDER
1.58
3.5
10 bk
OVER
4.38
UNDER
1.19
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
YES
1.91
10 bk
NO
1.81
10 bk
ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
1.59 7bk
Away -0.5
1.45 5bk
Away -0.75
1.29 5bk
Away -1
1.14 4bk
Away -1.25
1.10 3bk
Away -1.5
1.09 4bk
🏟 STADIUM
Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Asuncion
REFEREE
Carlos Betancur, Colombia
📺 WHERE TO WATCH
ID
Mola TV
Mola TV App
mola.tv
SG
Mola TV
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Carlos Betancu...
—
LIB... MGR
Francisco Arce
head coach
IND... MGR
Joaquin Papa
head coach
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
Libertad A... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
Independie... · 0 OUT
No injuries reported
KICK-OFFTue, 28 Apr · 22:00
RoundGroup Stage - 3
Season2026
🏟
Estadio Tigo La Huerta
Asuncion