⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Deportes Tolima
PROJECTED: 3-0
96%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
96%
Deportes T...
3%
Draw
1%
Coquimbo U...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
89%
8%
3%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
98%
1%
1%
DL
25% WEIGHT
96%
3%
1%
FINAL BLEND
96%
3%
1%
PREDICTED SCORE
3 - 0
xG 3.38 vs 0.52
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
3-0
0.0%
2
2-0
0.0%
3
4-0
0.0%
4
5-0
0.0%
5
1-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
92%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
8%
BTTS NO
92%
💎 VALUE BETS
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Tolima 3-0 up with 11 mins left; comeback mathematically impossible — lock in home win.
·
3-goal lead past 75' with only 11 minutes remaining — <1% comeback probability
·
Coquimbo already yellow-carded (reduced intensity) and withdrawn attackers via substitution
·
Tolima substituting to control (5 of 5 available subs used by 79') — game management
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
66%
Jersson González
HOM · F · 2g/8
2
34%
Brayan Rovira
HOM · M · 1g/6
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
1
Deportes T...
0
Draw
0
Coquimbo U...
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.