GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Bolívar
Thu, 30 Apr · 22:00
Copa Libertadores
Fluminense
TOP PICK
Bolívar
PROJECTED: 2-1
78%
CONF 81
WIN PROBABILITY
78%
Bolívar
15%
Draw
7%
Fluminense
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
73% 17% 10%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
92% 4% 4%
DL 25% WEIGHT
78% 15% 7%
FINAL BLEND
78% 15% 7%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.28 vs 0.72
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 2-0
0.0%
2 1-0
0.0%
3 3-0
0.0%
4 2-1
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
85%
BTTS NO
15%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
16 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 85% 1.82 +54.9%
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 78% 1.88 +46.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.95 +40.5%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 93% 1.20 +11.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 85% 1.25 +5.9%
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 3.48 -47.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 22% 2.03 -55.4%
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 7% 4.03 -71.8%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
BOLíVAR FACTORS
+30% Bolívar leading 2-1 at 90' (full-time); comeback from 1 goal down in 0 minutes is near-impossible.
+25% Match at 90' (full-time whistle) — Bolívar holds 2-1 lead; result is set
CONTEXT
· Fluminense scored at 90' but no time for another — Bolívar hold on confirmed
· High BTTS (both teams scored) and Over 2.5 lock in given final scoreline
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
R. Matheus
HOM · M · 2g/4
100%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
0
Bolívar
1
Draw
0
Fluminense
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
← Back to match