⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
NorthEast United
PROJECTED: 2-1
68%
CONF 58
WIN PROBABILITY
68%
NorthEast...
18%
Draw
14%
Mohammedan
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
70%
18%
12%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
80%
7%
13%
DL
25% WEIGHT
68%
18%
14%
FINAL BLEND
68%
18%
14%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.22 vs 0.78
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
3-0
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
MOHAMMEDAN FACTORS
+30%
NorthEast clear home favourite on quality gap (10pts vs 3pts, GD +1 vs -23), but Mohammedan's away form (LDDDD) and 30 GA suggest vulnerability; modest edge on home win.
+25%
Quality mismatch: NorthEast 10th (13pts, GF14/GA21) vs Mohammedan 14th (3pts, GF7/GA30)
+20%
NorthEast home form WWLLD (mixed) vs Mohammedan away form LDDDD (very poor defensively)
CONTEXT
·
Bookmaker home odds (1.30, 77% implied) slightly overstate home certainty; SportMonks home 64% aligns with our 68%
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
51%
Lalrinzuala Lalbiaknia
HOM · F · 2g/10
2
50%
Andy Rodríguez
HOM · M · 3g/12
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
NorthEast...
1
Draw
0
Mohammedan
03 Jan
0-0
16 Sep
0-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.