⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Kerala Blasters
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Kerala Bla...
28%
Draw
34%
Goa
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
35%
31%
34%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
43%
19%
38%
DL
25% WEIGHT
38%
28%
34%
FINAL BLEND
38%
28%
34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
1-0
0.0%
2
0-0
0.0%
3
1-1
0.0%
4
0-1
0.0%
5
2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
54%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
58%
BTTS NO
42%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
GOA FACTORS
+30%
Evenly matched on form and quality; Goa's road record (LWLWL) is poor but Blasters' home lead (WWWDD) is modest. Draw or low-scoring split likely.
+25%
Kerala slightly favored by home form (WWWDD) and table position (+1 pt lead), but Goa's recent momentum (DLWWL) is positive
+20%
Goa's away record (LWLWL) mixed, suggests vulnerability on road; Kerala's defense weak (GA 16 in 8 games, 2.0/match)
CONTEXT
·
SportMonks home-win prob (41.5%) vs bookmaker implied (26.5%) — market undervaluing home, but thin data (no xG, no scorers) limits confidence
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
64%
Victor Bertomeu
HOM · F · 4g/9
2
36%
Dejan Dražić
AWY · M · 5g/11
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Kerala Bla...
3
Draw
5
Goa
22 Feb
2-0
28 Nov
0-1
25 Feb
4-2
03 Dec
1-0
22 Jan
3-1
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.