GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Goa
Sat, 09 May · 11:30
Indian Super League
ATK Mohun Bagan
TOP PICK
ATK Mohun Bagan
PROJECTED: 1-2
40%
CONF 52
WIN PROBABILITY
32%
Goa
28%
Draw
40%
ATK Mohun...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
17% 21% 62%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
36% 19% 46%
DL 25% WEIGHT
32% 28% 40%
FINAL BLEND
32% 28% 40%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.97 vs 2.03
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-3
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
53%
BTTS NO
47%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 32% 4.14 +32.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 60% 1.90 +13.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 53% 1.82 -3.5%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.39 -5.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.97 -5.4%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.26 -9.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 1.19 -18.9%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 40% 1.79 -28.3%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
GOA FACTORS
+25% ATK's road form (WWWLW) significantly outperforms Goa's home (WLDLL); ATK +4 pts on league position
+20% ATK's recent form (WWWWW) vs Goa's mixed (LWWWL) — momentum strongly favors away side
+15% Goa's home record fragile (1W-1D-3L last 5) but ATK's defensive solidity (6 GA in season) limits goalfest
CONTEXT
· ATK Mohun Bagan's superior away form and recent hot streak edge out Goa's home advantage; draw is live.
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Jamie MacLaren
AWY · F · 9g/11
57%
2
Dejan Dražić
HOM · M · 5g/11
18%
3
Robinho
AWY · M · 3g/9
13%
4
Dimitri Petratos
AWY · F · 2g/8
12%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Goa
0
Draw
5
ATK Mohun...
08 Mar 2-0
20 Dec 2-1
14 Feb 0-1
23 Dec 1-4
28 Dec 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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