GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Công An Nhân Dân
Sun, 17 May · 12:15
V-League
Thanh Hóa
TOP PICK
Công An Nhân Dân
PROJECTED: 1-0
72%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
72%
Công An Nh...
24%
Draw
4%
Thanh Hóa
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
52% 30% 18%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
85% 14% 1%
DL 25% WEIGHT
72% 24% 4%
FINAL BLEND
72% 24% 4%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.27 vs 0.63
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 2-0
0.0%
4 1-1
0.0%
5 0-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
18%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
8%
BTTS NO
92%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 6.36 +52.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 4.14 +15.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
6 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 96% 1.03 -1.4%
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.17 -15.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.07 -19.0%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 4% 11.15 -55.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 1.37 -75.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 8% 1.86 -85.1%
THANH HóA FACTORS
+30% Home domination (league leader, 5-game win streak, perfect home record) vs 10-man Thanh Hóa; late winner likely.
+20% Thanh Hóa down to 10 men since 60' (red card); road form poor (DWDLL)
CONTEXT
· Công An Nhân Dân top of table (57 pts, +34 GD) vs mid-table Thanh Hóa (9th, -4 GD) — huge quality gap
· 0-0 at 85' with 5 min + ET; home pressure will intensify — late goal favoured over draw
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Công An Nh...
1
Draw
2
Thanh Hóa
24 Feb 1-3
15 Jun 1-4
20 Sep 0-1
31 Mar 0-2
27 Feb 3-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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