GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Pohang Steelers
Sat, 01 Aug · 10:30
K League 1
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
TOP PICK
Pohang Steelers
PROJECTED: 1-0
48%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
48%
Pohang Ste...
28%
Draw
24%
Gimcheon S...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
42% 31% 27%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
55% 19% 26%
DL 25% WEIGHT
48% 28% 24%
FINAL BLEND
48% 28% 24%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.10 vs 0.80
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 2.16 +3.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 76% 1.29 -2.0%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.32 -5.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.14 -10.0%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.16 -11.4%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.67 -13.4%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 24% 3.37 -19.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 1.86 -29.2%
CONTEXT
· Thin data and mixed signals limit confidence; slight home edge offset by Gimcheon's resilience on the road.
· Pohang home form weak (LWLLW) despite 5th-place position; recent overall form slump (LLLWW)
· Gimcheon road form slightly better than home (DLLDW vs implied home form) but bottom-half table position
· No H2H history, lineups unpublished, season xG unavailable — high uncertainty
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
J. Tranziska
HOM · F · 2g/16
36%
2
Go Jae-Hyeon
AWY · M · 3g/19
25%
3
Lee Ho-Jae
HOM · 4g/20
17%
4
J. da Rocha Junior
HOM · 2g/14
12%
5
Lee Kun-Hee
AWY · 2g/20
9%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
2
Pohang Ste...
2
Draw
6
Gimcheon S...
28 Feb 1-1
01 Nov 0-1
27 Sep 2-0
14 Jun 1-0
02 May 1-2
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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