GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Tue, 21 Jul · 10:30
K League 1
Incheon United
TOP PICK
Incheon United
PROJECTED: 1-2
93%
CONF 88
WIN PROBABILITY
2%
Ulsan Hyun...
5%
Draw
93%
Incheon Un...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
8% 16% 76%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
1% 1% 98%
DL 25% WEIGHT
2% 5% 93%
FINAL BLEND
2% 5% 93%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.64 vs 2.36
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 0-3
0.0%
4 1-2
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
15%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
88%
BTTS NO
12%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 93% 3.27 +204.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 98% 1.65 +61.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 88% 1.80 +58.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 95% 1.31 +24.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 2.06 -69.1%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 5% 3.22 -83.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 7% 1.31 -90.8%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 2% 2.18 -95.6%
CONTEXT
· Incheon 2-goal lead at 90' (full-time whistle imminent); away win is nearly locked in.
· 2-goal deficit with ≤1 minute remaining — statistical comeback probability <2%
· Incheon just scored penalty (90') to extend lead; Ulsan score earlier insufficient
· Both teams have scored (BTTS confirmed); no late Ulsan comeback realistic
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Stefan Mugoša
AWY · F · 7g/17
32%
2
Morgan Ferrier
AWY · F · 4g/17
26%
3
Yago Cariello
HOM · F · 4g/17
18%
4
Dong-gyeong Lee
HOM · F · 3g/19
18%
5
Gerso Fernandes
AWY · M · 2g/20
6%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Ulsan Hyun...
4
Draw
2
Incheon Un...
11 Apr 1-2
22 Sep 0-0
29 May 1-1
17 Mar 3-3
24 Nov 3-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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