GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Daejeon Citizen
Sat, 18 Jul · 10:30
K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai FC
TOP PICK
Ulsan Hyundai FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
37%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
35%
Daejeon Ci...
28%
Draw
37%
Ulsan Hyun...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
34% 31% 35%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
39% 19% 42%
DL 25% WEIGHT
35% 28% 37%
FINAL BLEND
35% 28% 37%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 0.99 vs 1.01
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-1
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 1-0
0.0%
5 0-2
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
44%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 37% 2.64 -2.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 65% 1.46 -4.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.30 -6.2%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.26 -8.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 63% 1.44 -9.0%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 35% 2.56 -10.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.67 -13.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 1.89 -16.6%
CONTEXT
· Away team quality (5th vs 10th) slight edge, but poor away form and mixed H2H keep this tight; lean away.
· Ulsan 5th, Daejeon 10th; 9-point gap in table — away team quality advantage
· Daejeon poor home form (DLLDL) vs Ulsan mixed away (DLWDL) — both weak splits
· H2H shows Daejeon strong historically (3-1-1 W-D-L in last 5) but most recent away loss to Ulsan (2026-04)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Yago Cariello
AWY · 4g/17
29%
2
M. Ishida
HOM · 2g/11
23%
3
Lee Dong-Gyeong
AWY · 3g/19
20%
4
Jeong Jae-Hee
HOM · 2g/14
18%
5
Diogo Oliveira
HOM · 1g/12
10%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Daejeon Ci...
2
Draw
3
Ulsan Hyun...
26 Apr 1-4
23 Jul 1-2
01 Apr 2-3
23 Feb 0-2
27 Sep 0-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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