GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Jeju United FC
Sun, 12 Jul · 10:30
K League 1
Daejeon Citizen
TOP PICK
Jeju United FC
PROJECTED: 1-1
45%
CONF 38
WIN PROBABILITY
45%
Jeju Unite...
28%
Draw
27%
Daejeon Ci...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
38% 31% 31%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
52% 19% 30%
DL 25% WEIGHT
45% 28% 27%
FINAL BLEND
45% 28% 27%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.07 vs 0.93
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
52%
BTTS NO
48%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 45% 2.86 +28.7%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 73% 1.51 +10.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.32 -5.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 52% 1.80 -6.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 42% 2.10 -11.7%
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.14 -12.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 55% 1.39 -23.8%
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 27% 2.47 -33.4%
CONTEXT
· Thin data and conflicting signals (home form weak vs away form strong) — treat as near coin-flip with slight home edge.
· Jeju home form (LWLDW) is mediocre; Daejeon away form (LWWWL) is strong relative to home
· H2H split (Daejeon 3-0, 1-1, Jeju 1-0, 1-3) shows no clear pattern; Daejeon won 2025-10-18 heavily
· Both teams' recent overall form poor (Jeju DLLWW, Daejeon DLLLD) — no momentum signal
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Jeong Jae-Hee
AWY · F · 2g/14
38%
2
Diogo Oliveira
AWY · F · 1g/12
22%
3
M. Ishida
AWY · 2g/11
21%
4
Kim Jun-ha
HOM · F · 1g/18
15%
5
J. Célestine
HOM · D · 1g/14
5%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Jeju Unite...
2
Draw
4
Daejeon Ci...
22 Apr 0-1
18 Oct 3-1
27 Jun 1-1
15 Mar 1-3
24 Nov 2-1
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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