GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Gwangju FC
Sun, 05 Jul · 10:30
K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai FC
TOP PICK
Ulsan Hyundai FC
PROJECTED: 1-2
67%
CONF 68
WIN PROBABILITY
15%
Gwangju FC
18%
Draw
67%
Ulsan Hyun...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
12% 18% 70%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
14% 7% 78%
DL 25% WEIGHT
15% 18% 67%
FINAL BLEND
15% 18% 67%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 2
xG 0.79 vs 2.21
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 0-2
0.0%
2 0-1
0.0%
3 1-2
0.0%
4 0-3
0.0%
5 1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
72%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
68%
BTTS NO
32%
💎 VALUE BETS
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 68% 2.01 +36.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.89 +35.9%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 15% 6.81 +2.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 82% 1.19 -2.3%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 67% 1.44 -3.6%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 85% 1.09 -7.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 33% 2.63 -13.2%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 18% 4.21 -24.1%
CONTEXT
· Ulsan heavily favoured on form, table position, and recent H2H; Gwangju's home record offers minimal mitigation.
· Ulsan 4th (+1.8 GD vs Gwangju 12th -30 GD) — huge quality gap
· Gwangju home form LDLLD + recent form LLDLL — no momentum
· Ulsan away form LWDWW + recent LWWWL — consistent threat; beat Gwangju 5-1 on 2026-04-19
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Yago Cariello
AWY · 4g/17
40%
2
Dong-gyeong Lee
AWY · 3g/19
27%
3
Moon Min-seo
HOM · 2g/20
17%
4
Kim Yong-hyuk
HOM · 0g/1
8%
5
Yong-hyuk Kim
HOM · 0g/1
8%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Gwangju FC
2
Draw
5
Ulsan Hyun...
19 Apr 5-1
22 Nov 2-0
18 Oct 2-0
28 May 1-1
02 May 3-0
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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