⚡ AI PREDICTION
TOP PICK
Incheon United
PROJECTED: 2-0
58%
CONF 62
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Incheon Un...
26%
Draw
16%
Gwangju FC
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
70%
18%
11%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
16%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
26%
16%
FINAL BLEND
58%
26%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 0
xG 2.17 vs 0.73
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
3-0
0.0%
5
1-1
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
42%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
38%
BTTS NO
62%
💎 VALUE BETS
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
·
Incheon clear league and form favourite; Gwangju's away record (0-5) is disastrous. Home win most likely.
·
League position gap (6th vs 12th, +11 pts) plus goal differential (GD +0 vs -26)
·
Incheon home form LLWWL mixed but Gwangju away form LLLLL is historically worst-case
·
Bookmaker home odds (65.4%) slightly high relative to form depth; AI slightly more cautious at 58%
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
41%
Morgan Ferrier
HOM · F · 2g/11
2
34%
Stefan Mugoša
HOM · 6g/12
3
18%
Min-seo Moon
AWY · M · 2g/14
4
4%
Park Sung-hyun
AWY · M · 0g/1
5
3%
Yong-hyuk Kim
AWY · 0g/1
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Incheon Un...
3
Draw
3
Gwangju FC
07 Mar
3-2
27 Oct
1-0
14 Jul
0-2
25 May
1-1
03 Apr
2-3
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.