GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Daejeon Citizen
Sat, 09 May · 10:00
K League 1
Pohang Steelers
TOP PICK
Daejeon Citizen
PROJECTED: 1-0
44%
CONF 48
WIN PROBABILITY
44%
Daejeon Ci...
30%
Draw
26%
Pohang Ste...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
41% 31% 28%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
51% 21% 28%
DL 25% WEIGHT
44% 30% 26%
FINAL BLEND
44% 30% 26%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 0
xG 1.07 vs 0.83
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
38%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
48%
BTTS NO
52%
💎 VALUE BETS
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 30% 3.18 -4.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 74% 1.28 -5.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 56% 1.69 -5.4%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 44% 2.11 -7.3%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 70% 1.31 -8.2%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 26% 3.44 -10.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.86 -10.6%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 2.17 -17.6%
📈 SPORTMONKS PREDICTIONS
CONTEXT
· Even matchup with slight home edge; bookmaker odds fairly priced, no strong value signal.
· Both teams tied on points (16 pts) with identical goal differential (GF-GA: +6 and -1 respectively); quality roughly level
· Daejeon home form (DLWWL) mixed, Pohang road form (DWLLL) weak — marginal home advantage
· Recent form both inconsistent (DWWLW vs DWLWL); no momentum signal; SportMonks model (41.88% home) slightly below AI (44%)
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Lee Ho-jae
AWY · F · 4g/14
62%
2
Juninho Rocha
AWY · F · 2g/12
25%
3
Diogo Oliveira
HOM · F · 1g/12
13%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
3
Daejeon Ci...
1
Draw
6
Pohang Ste...
04 Apr 1-0
26 Oct 2-0
05 Oct 1-3
27 May 1-3
15 Feb 0-3
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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