TOP PICK
Kashima
PROJECTED: 2-1
58%
CONF 56
WIN PROBABILITY
58%
Kashima
26%
Draw
16%
FC Tokyo
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON
30% WEIGHT
68%
19%
13%
ELO
30% WEIGHT
68%
16%
16%
DL
25% WEIGHT
58%
26%
16%
FINAL BLEND
58%
26%
16%
PREDICTED SCORE
2 - 1
xG 2.17 vs 0.83
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1
2-0
0.0%
2
1-0
0.0%
3
2-1
0.0%
4
1-1
0.0%
5
3-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
—
OVER 2.5
62%
OVER 3.5
—
BTTS YES
68%
BTTS NO
32%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
KASHIMA FACTORS
+25%
Kashima leads league by 5 pts with superior defence (GA 11 vs 17); strong home form WDWWW
FC TOKYO FACTORS
+20%
FC Tokyo scores more (32 vs 30 GF) but concedes significantly more; away form inconsistent (DWDWD)
CONTEXT
·
Kashima slight home favourite on league position and home form; FC Tokyo's road record (DWDWD) and higher GF keep this competitive.
·
Recent form mixed for both (Kashima WDWDL, FC Tokyo DWLWW) — no hot-streak momentum for either
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
37%
Léo Ceará
HOM · F · 10g/18
2
21%
Marcelo Ryan
AWY · F · 5g/16
3
21%
Ryunosuke Sato
AWY · F · 5g/16
4
12%
Yuma Suzuki
HOM · M · 6g/18
5
10%
Kein Sato
AWY · M · 5g/18
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
5
Kashima
2
Draw
3
FC Tokyo
07 Feb
1-1
10 Aug
0-1
01 Mar
2-0
20 Jul
2-1
07 Apr
2-0
📖 Methodology
- · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
- · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
- · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
- · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.