GOALSENSE
⚡ AI PREDICTION
Kyoto Sanga
Sun, 17 May · 06:00
J1 League
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
TOP PICK
Kyoto Sanga
PROJECTED: 1-1
38%
CONF 43
WIN PROBABILITY
38%
Kyoto Sang...
28%
Draw
34%
Sanfrecce...
🤖 AI MODEL BLEND
POISSON 30% WEIGHT
35% 31% 34%
ELO 30% WEIGHT
43% 19% 38%
DL 25% WEIGHT
38% 28% 34%
FINAL BLEND
38% 28% 34%
PREDICTED SCORE
1 - 1
xG 1.02 vs 0.98
🎯 TOP CORRECT-SCORES
1 1-0
0.0%
2 0-0
0.0%
3 1-1
0.0%
4 0-1
0.0%
5 2-0
0.0%
📊 GOAL MARKETS
OVER 1.5
OVER 2.5
48%
OVER 3.5
BTTS YES
54%
BTTS NO
46%
💎 VALUE BETS
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 38% 3.56 +35.2%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 66% 1.78 +17.4%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 28% 3.55 -0.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 72% 1.26 -9.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 54% 1.63 -12.0%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 48% 1.77 -14.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 62% 1.28 -20.7%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
AI 34% 1.98 -32.8%
CONTEXT
· Evenly matched on quality; Hiroshima's superior form and table position edge Kyoto's home advantage — draw or away win live.
· Hiroshima 4 pts and 1 league position ahead; better season GF/GA (+2 vs −3)
· Kyoto home form weak (LDDLW) vs Hiroshima road form solid (WLDLW)
· Recent form divergence: Hiroshima WDLDW vs Kyoto LLDLD — visitor in better momentum
⚽ PROJECTED SCORERS
1
Rafael Elias
HOM · F · 4g/11
76%
2
Marco Túlio
HOM · 5g/13
24%
📊 AI TRACK RECORD
0
CALLS
0%
HIT RATE
0.000
BRIER
⚔ HEAD-TO-HEAD
4
Kyoto Sang...
2
Draw
4
Sanfrecce...
27 Feb 1-2
12 Sep 1-1
29 Mar 1-0
03 Nov 0-1
19 May 0-5
📖 Methodology
  • · Multi-model blend: Poisson + ELO + Deep Learning + Claude reasoning
  • · Weights re-calibrated weekly based on Brier score
  • · Live-adjusted on goals, cards, and substitutions
  • · Predictions are AI-generated probabilities, not advice. Bet responsibly.
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